Core Viewpoint - Guoshin Securities has given a "better than market" rating to Shangmei Co., predicting net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.107 billion, 1.388 billion, and 1.702 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with EPS of 2.78, 3.49, and 4.27 yuan per share respectively, and a target price range of 104.5-120.9 HKD per share [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company is positioned as a leading domestic beauty brand, leveraging inclusive mechanisms, in-depth R&D, and diverse channels to solidify its performance base through its main brand, Han Shu, which has expanded its product categories and achieved breakthroughs with popular products [1][2] - The main brand Han Shu has achieved significant sales with its Hongman Waist set, ranking first on Douyin's beauty list for eight consecutive months in 2023, and has launched the X Peptide cream to achieve a breakthrough in single product sales [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The cosmetics industry has entered a phase of stable growth post-pandemic, with diminishing channel benefits and increasing competition from new brands, leading to a shortened growth lifecycle for single products [1] - Platform-based operational capabilities are crucial for beauty companies to overcome growth bottlenecks, allowing them to adapt to market changes and build a sustainable multi-brand and multi-category business matrix [1] Group 3: Multi-Brand Strategy - The company has developed reusable foundational capabilities in channels, R&D, and marketing, resulting in a platform-based development approach with multiple categories and brands [2] - The company has successfully penetrated niche markets with its multi-brand strategy, including high-end maternal and infant products, anti-hair loss care, and sensitive skin products, contributing to a diverse growth curve [2]
国信证券:予上美股份(02145)“优于大市”评级 目标价104.5-120.9港元