29省份化债近2万亿，江苏等六地超千亿|财税益侃

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the issuance of special refinancing bonds by local governments in China to replace hidden debts, aiming to mitigate repayment risks and reduce interest costs. Group 1: Debt Replacement Plans - Local governments plan to issue a total of 2 trillion yuan in special refinancing bonds this year to replace 2 trillion yuan of existing hidden debts, thereby extending debt maturity and lowering interest rates [1] - As of October 16, 29 provinces have issued approximately 1.99 trillion yuan in refinancing bonds, nearly completing the 2 trillion yuan debt replacement plan for this year [1] - China plans to allow local governments to issue 2 trillion yuan in refinancing bonds annually from 2024 to 2026, totaling 6 trillion yuan, with 4 trillion yuan already completed for 2024 and 2025 [1] Group 2: Provincial Debt Issuance - Jiangsu province leads with a planned issuance of 251.1 billion yuan in refinancing bonds for debt replacement, having received 753.3 billion yuan of the total 6 trillion yuan allocation [2] - Other provinces such as Hunan, Shandong, Guizhou, Henan, and Sichuan have issued over 100 billion yuan each, while Guangdong and Shanghai, as pilot regions for clearing hidden debts, did not receive any allocation [2] - Henan's issuance of 115.08 billion yuan this year is lower than last year's 122.7 billion yuan, indicating a remaining allocation of approximately 7.6 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Financial Impact - The average interest cost of replaced debts has decreased by over 2.5 percentage points, saving local governments more than 450 billion yuan in interest payments [3] - The debt replacement process has improved the asset quality of financial institutions, significantly reducing risks and enhancing their willingness and ability to lend to the real economy [4] Group 4: Future Plans and Recommendations - The remaining 2 trillion yuan for 2026 will be expedited, with suggestions to issue an additional 1 trillion yuan in local government bonds this year to further alleviate hidden debt risks [5] - Experts recommend adjusting the distribution of the 6 trillion yuan debt replacement strategy to better address local debt situations rather than spreading it evenly [5] Group 5: Overall Debt Safety - As of August 2025, the total local government debt stands at 53.2484 trillion yuan, remaining within the approved limit of 57.9874 trillion yuan [6]