IMF总裁：不确定性成为新常态 各国应增强经济韧性

Core Insights - The global economy is performing "better than expected, but not enough to meet growth needs," indicating a lack of long-term growth momentum [1] - Geopolitical tensions, technological changes, demographic shifts, and trade relationship adjustments are contributing to decreased predictability in the global economy [2] Economic Performance - IMF's latest forecast predicts global economic growth rates of 3.2% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, slightly higher than previous expectations [1] - The resilience of the global economy is attributed to strengthened policy and institutional frameworks in many countries, especially emerging markets, and the private sector's adaptability [2] Policy Recommendations - Countries should focus on three main policy priorities to enhance resilience: 1. Unlocking private sector growth potential through ambitious reforms and a supportive regulatory environment [3] 2. Strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals by rebuilding fiscal space and ensuring financial stability [3] 3. Reducing global economic imbalances by encouraging domestic demand in surplus countries and reducing fiscal deficits in deficit countries [3] IMF Initiatives - The IMF is advancing several reforms and cooperation mechanisms to support low-income countries, including enhancing oversight and reviewing loan conditions [3] - The IMF's disaster relief trust fund, which provided significant assistance during the COVID-19 pandemic, is nearly depleted, prompting a call for member countries to consider replenishing this fund for future shocks [3] Future Outlook - Uncertainty is expected to persist, but it also presents opportunities for countries to enhance resilience and capitalize on changes in the global environment [4]