Buy or Sell BTDR Stock at $26?

Core Insights - Bitdeer Technologies stock (NASDAQ: BTDR) surged by 29% on October 15 following its announcement to expand into data center operations, moving beyond traditional Bitcoin mining and rig sales [2] - The shift towards data center operations aligns with the growing demand for AI high-performance computing (HPC), allowing miners to leverage existing infrastructure and technical expertise for a more stable revenue stream [3] Financial Performance - Bitdeer Technologies has experienced modest revenue growth, averaging 8.1% over the past three years, but reported a 15.2% decline in revenues from $421 million to $357 million in the last 12 months [7] - Quarterly revenue increased by 56.8% to $156 million from $99 million year-over-year [7] - The company’s operating income was reported at -$200 million, with a poor operating margin of -56.0% compared to 18.6% for the S&P 500 [16] Profitability and Valuation - Profit margins for Bitdeer Technologies are significantly lower than most companies in the Trefis coverage universe, indicating weak profitability [8] - The current price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for Bitdeer is 14.2, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500's ratio of 3.3, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued [6] Growth Potential - Revenue growth is projected to accelerate, with consensus estimates indicating a 65% increase in 2025 and an 89% increase in 2026, making the current P/S ratio more justifiable [13] - The core mining business is also showing improvement, with the company mining 452 Bitcoins in the last month, up from 375 in August [14] Financial Stability - Bitdeer Technologies has a solid balance sheet, with a debt of $626 million and a market capitalization of $5.0 billion, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 12.3% [16] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $474 million, constituting a strong cash-to-assets ratio of 23.2% compared to 7.0% for the S&P 500 [16] Market Resilience - BTDR stock has shown weakness during downturns, performing worse than the S&P 500 during recent declines [10] - The stock has experienced significant volatility, decreasing by 79.5% from a peak of $14.31 to $2.93, before recovering to approximately $26 [17]