Packaging Corp to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, with revenue estimates at $2.26 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $2.83, indicating a 6.8% increase from the previous year [1][5]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PKG's third-quarter revenues is $2.26 billion, which shows a growth of 3.4% compared to the same quarter last year [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $2.83 per share, representing a year-over-year growth of 6.8% [1]. - PKG has a history of earnings surprises, beating estimates in three of the last four quarters with an average surprise of 2.9% [3][4]. Segment Analysis - The Packaging segment is expected to report revenues of $2.06 billion, which is a 2.6% increase from the prior year, despite a predicted volume decline of 2.5% [8][9]. - Operating income for the Packaging segment is estimated at $340 million, reflecting a 6.2% growth year-over-year [9]. - The Paper segment is projected to have revenues of $151 million, down 5.4% from the previous year, with an operating income estimate of $38 million, indicating a 1.2% decline [10]. Strategic Developments - The acquisition of Greif, Inc.'s containerboard business, finalized in early September, is expected to positively impact PKG's earnings immediately, contributing to the Packaging segment's performance [7]. Stock Performance - Over the past year, PKG shares have decreased by 2.5%, contrasting with a 34.6% decline in the industry [11].