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中信建投:光伏“反内卷”成为当前行业核心矛盾 看好新技术迭代方向
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-10-16 23:45

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry chain is currently in a state of supply-demand imbalance, with the core contradiction being the "anti-involution" driving capacity clearance [1] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic sector mainly includes rectifying sales below cost, capacity integration, and phasing out outdated capacity [1] - Significant progress has been made in rectifying sales below cost, leading to gradual price increases for silicon materials, silicon wafers, and batteries, while the price increase for components remains limited in the short term [1] - Future price adjustments will need to be closely monitored to ensure alignment with market conditions [1] Group 2: Capacity Management - New energy consumption standards for polysilicon have been tightened, which is expected to be an important means of capacity clearance in the future [1] - Short-term focus should be on capacity integration and the industry's joint production control efforts [1] - The reversal of supply-demand dynamics in the industry will depend on the strength of capacity policy measures exceeding expectations [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Within the sector, there is optimism regarding leading material companies and new technology directions such as BC, TOPCon 3.0, and slurry [1]