IMF总裁：全球经济好于预期 不确定性成新常态

Core Insights - The global economy is performing better than expected, but it has not reached the desired level, with uncertainty becoming the new norm [1][2] - The IMF projects global economic growth at 3.2% for this year, slightly down from 3.3% last year, and a further decline to 3.1% next year [1] - Geopolitical tensions, technological changes, demographic shifts, and trade relationship transformations are contributing to increased uncertainty in the global economy [1] Economic Resilience - The resilience of the global economy is attributed to two main factors: strengthened policy and institutional frameworks in most countries since the global financial crisis, and the private sector's adaptability in managing imports, supply chains, and uncertainties [1] Recommendations for Enhancing Resilience - Countries should unlock the growth potential of the private sector, rebuild fiscal space, reduce debt levels, and mitigate financial risks [2] - Countries with budget surpluses should boost domestic demand and reduce reliance on industrial policies, while those with deficits should cut fiscal deficits and encourage private savings [2] Future Projections - The IMF has adjusted its forecast for global economic growth in 2025 to 3.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous July estimate, while maintaining a growth forecast of 3.1% for 2026 [2]