智通财经网·2025-10-17 02:07Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for China Tower (00788) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of HKD 14.00, indicating a 20.1% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue reached CNY 74.32 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 8.71 billion, up 6.8%, aligning with CICC's expectations [2] - In Q3 2025, revenue was CNY 24.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 2.95 billion, up 4.5% [2] Business Segments - Revenue growth in the two wings business remains strong, while tower business revenue is slowing down. For 1-3Q25, revenue from tower, indoor distribution, smart connection, and energy businesses grew by -0.7%, +11.3%, +16.8%, and +11.5% respectively; in Q3 2025, the growth rates were -1.2%, +9.8%, +13.2%, and +15.9% [3] - The operator business revenue in Q3 2025 decreased by 0.2%, likely due to cost control measures by operators leading to a decline in non-rental service revenue from the tower business [3] EBITDA and Profitability - EBITDA growth has slowed, with a year-on-year increase of 2.5% for the first three quarters, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 6.8%. In Q3 2025, EBITDA was CNY 16.73 billion, up 0.4% year-on-year, and net profit was CNY 2.95 billion, up 4.5% [4] - The slowdown in internal profit growth in Q3 2025 compared to the first half of 2025 is attributed to increased costs and expenses, including credit impairment losses [4] Accounting Changes - The company announced a change in accounting estimates, extending the depreciation period for indoor distribution assets from 7 years to 10 years, which is expected to reduce the depreciation expense for 2025 by approximately CNY 870 million [5] - This change is based on the optimization of daily operations and maintenance systems for indoor distribution, as well as considerations of the actual usage of assets [5]