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长城基金储雯玉:科技成长或仍占优,市场风格更趋均衡
Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-10-16 08:54

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a rise from around 3300 to over 3800 points this year, driven by policy support, technological breakthroughs, and capital inflow, with expectations for a more balanced market style in the fourth quarter [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The fourth quarter is expected to see a more balanced market style, with technology growth likely to remain dominant [1] - Positive policy expectations are anticipated as China enters the "14th Five-Year Plan" implementation phase, which may provide new thematic investment opportunities [1] - The potential for continued foreign capital inflow is supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and declining domestic risk-free rates, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets [1] Group 2: Investment Themes - The first investment theme is technology growth, focusing on the progress of AI hardware development and the emergence of AI products, which may create excess return opportunities for companies with unique advantages in the supply chain [2] - The second theme is "anti-involution," where unexpected policy strength may lead to a market style shift, with attention on improving industry structures in sectors like chemicals and power equipment [2] - The third theme is stabilizing consumption, where despite overall weak consumer performance, new consumption sectors are showing promising results, and policies aimed at stabilizing growth and consumption may lead to a rebound in the consumer sector [2]