锚定“房住不炒”各地“因城施策”

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China has entered a deep adjustment phase during the "14th Five-Year Plan" due to significant changes in cyclical fluctuations and supply-demand relationships, prompting timely adjustments and optimizations in real estate policies [1][3]. Policy Changes - The report highlights major changes in real estate policies, including the optimization of financial, credit, and restrictive policies to unleash growth potential in the housing market [2]. - Since 2022, approximately 3,000 real estate optimization policies have been implemented across the country [3]. - Key policies include the "Financial 16 Articles" and "Three Arrows" aimed at supporting reasonable financing needs of real estate companies [4]. Demand-side Policy Adjustments - In May 2024, several demand-side policies were optimized, including lowering the down payment ratio for first-time homebuyers to 15% and canceling the national-level interest rate policy limits for first and second homes [5]. - Major cities like Suzhou, Changsha, Chengdu, and Hangzhou have fully lifted purchase restrictions, with Guangzhou also removing such policies [5][12]. Market Trends and Predictions - The market is expected to experience a phase of recovery starting from Q4 2024, although recent policy effects have weakened, indicating that a complete halt to the decline is still some distance away [2][8]. - The report anticipates that with most cities lifting restrictive policies, the market will return to being supply-demand driven, potentially leading to further market differentiation [13]. Financial and Tax Policies - Financial policies have been adjusted to lower the cost of home purchases, including reductions in mortgage rates and adjustments to personal housing fund loan rates [9][11]. - Tax policies have also been modified to provide tax incentives for homebuyers, such as tax exemptions for home exchanges and reduced transaction tax rates [11]. Achievements During the "14th Five-Year Plan" - The real estate market has seen positive outcomes, with approximately 5 billion square meters of new residential sales recorded during this period [15]. - By Q4 2024, both the sales area and sales volume of new residential properties have shown positive growth, maintaining a trend of "stabilizing after a decline" [16]. - Over 7 million housing units that were sold but not delivered have been successfully delivered, ensuring the rights of homebuyers are protected [17]. Housing Security and Urban Development - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has also made significant progress in urban village renovations and the construction of affordable housing, with over 11 million units built or renovated [19]. - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has emphasized the expansion of urban village renovation policies to nearly 300 cities, promoting monetary compensation for residents [19].