加拿大9月二手房销量小幅下滑 市场复苏进程遇阻

Core Insights - The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) reported a 1.7% month-over-month decline in national existing home sales for September, despite an increase in sales activity in Toronto, which was offset by declines in other major cities [1][4] - New listings decreased by 0.8% in September, with the benchmark home price slightly falling to 686,800 CAD (approximately 489,000 USD) [1][4] Group 1: Market Activity - Inventory backlog and falling home prices have attracted some buyers, but overall sales activity remains sluggish, hindering a slow recovery in the Canadian real estate market [4] - CREA's senior economist, Sean Cathcart, described September as "a small bump in the road," following five months of growth in the market [4] Group 2: Economic Factors - The Bank of Canada recently cut interest rates by 25 basis points and is expected to lower rates again in January 2024, with a forecasted 7.7% increase in home sales by 2026 [4] - Interest rates are identified as a key factor influencing market recovery, with the Bank of Canada nearing a shift from neutral to stimulative monetary policy [4] Group 3: Housing Supply and Prices - As of the end of September, the total number of homes for sale in Canada reached 199,772, a 7.5% increase compared to the same period last year [4] - The benchmark price index adjusted for high-price markets like Toronto and Vancouver fell by 3.5%, while many lower-priced areas continue to see price increases [4]