ETF日报：“反内卷”政策的落地节奏和效力决定了中国经济特别是制造业的修复水平，可关注养殖ETF等

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 1.95%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.04%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.36% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.94 trillion, an increase of 6.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Concerns over the high valuation levels of technology growth stocks have led to a collective sell-off in this sector, which had previously shown strong performance [1][2] Short-term and Long-term Outlook - In the short term, there may be continued downward pressure on the market, but the long-term bull market is not expected to end, and the current pullback may present a good opportunity for active allocation [1][6] - The market has been oscillating around the 3900-point mark, with multiple attempts to break through both upwards and downwards [1][2] Sector Performance - The technology sector has faced significant corrections, with the ChiNext Index's maximum drawdown approaching -12% and the Sci-Tech 50's drawdown exceeding -14% [7] - The "反内卷" (anti-involution) and technology sectors are highlighted as key areas for investment, reflecting market optimism regarding corporate profitability and valuation levels [9][10] Livestock Industry Insights - The livestock sector, particularly pig farming, is showing signs of recovery, with the price of pigs rising from below 14 yuan to around 21 yuan, marking an increase of nearly 50% [12] - The Ministry of Agriculture has initiated measures to control pig production, indicating a shift towards reducing supply, which is expected to support price increases in the future [12][14] - Major pig farming companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs have reported significant profit improvements, with net profits of 18.9 billion yuan and 9.2 billion yuan, respectively [12] Cost Control and Industry Dynamics - The pig farming industry has seen significant cost optimization, with leading companies reducing their costs to approximately 12-13 yuan per kilogram [17] - The industry is entering a phase of capacity reduction, with the number of breeding sows decreasing, which is expected to support future price increases [14][16] Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have reached historical highs, with London gold spot prices peaking at 4380 points, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [19] - The demand for gold as a "safe-haven" asset is expected to remain strong due to concerns over inflation and economic stagnation in the U.S. [20][21]