Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-10-17 15:16Core Viewpoint - International gold and silver prices have experienced significant declines recently, with gold dropping 2.88% to $4,239.84 per ounce and silver falling 4.37% to $51.895 per ounce. The year-to-date increase in gold prices is approximately 60% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued a warning regarding the recent volatility in international precious metal prices, urging members to enhance risk awareness and maintain market stability [1]. - Several banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank, have also cautioned investors about the heightened market risks associated with precious metals, recommending rational investment based on financial conditions and risk tolerance [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - Analysts attribute the surge in gold prices primarily to the excessive issuance of the US dollar, which has led to a deterioration in US Treasury credit quality, coupled with the unpredictable trade policies of the Trump administration, increasing market demand for safe-haven assets [6]. - Short-term drivers for the accelerated rise in gold prices include heightened market concerns over US-China trade issues, which have amplified demand for gold as a safe haven. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's recent statements regarding future monetary policy, leaning towards maintaining the labor market, are interpreted as increasing the likelihood of interest rate cuts, which weakens the dollar and supports gold prices [6]. - The impending liquidity crunch in the US financial system, with bank reserves dropping to their lowest levels of the year, suggests that the Federal Reserve may consider ending its balance sheet reduction process, further contributing to the upward pressure on gold prices [6].