How is the Russia-Ukraine war impacting global oil supply?

Geopolitical Impact on Oil Supply - Ukraine's attack on Russia's oil depot in Crimea raises concerns about geopolitical events affecting energy futures as winter approaches, with current oil prices at a five-year low, benefiting consumers [1] - Despite the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, oil supply disruptions have been limited, as the US and EU sanctions on Russian oil have led to a diversion of supplies to countries like China, India, and Turkey [2] Russian Oil Imports and Market Dynamics - India continues to import approximately 1.7 million barrels per day of Russian oil, despite pressure from the US to cease these purchases, indicating a complex relationship between India and Russia [3][4] - Russian oil is heavily discounted, making it a significant source for India, which relies on it for one-third of its crude oil imports [6] US Oil Production and Strategic Petroleum Reserve - US oil production reached a record high of over 13.6 million barrels per day in June, contributing to a significant oil glut [3] - The US has been refilling its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), which currently holds about 407 million barrels, but additional congressional funding is needed for further purchases [7][8] Impact on Oil Companies and Employment - The current low oil prices are beneficial for consumers but detrimental for oil companies and investors, leading to layoffs across major firms like Exxon Mobil, BP, and Chevron, as well as service providers [9][10] - The layoffs in the oil sector have a ripple effect on local economies, particularly in oil-producing regions like West Texas and New Mexico, where discretionary spending is expected to decline [10][11] Gasoline Prices and Consumer Outlook - Gasoline prices are projected to drop below $3 per gallon on the national average soon, which is favorable for consumers [12]