美国法院系统也被卷入停摆，业内预计政府关门将“史上最长”

Core Viewpoint - The current U.S. government shutdown is evolving into a significant political crisis, likely extending until November, with no signs of resolution from the White House or Democratic concessions [1][8]. Government Shutdown Duration and Impact - As of this week, the shutdown has lasted 17 days, with predictions suggesting it could extend to approximately 41 days, a significant increase from earlier estimates of 14 days [1][7]. - The longest previous shutdown lasted 35 days during Trump's first term [1]. Judicial System Effects - The federal court system will begin reducing non-essential functions and placing some employees on unpaid leave due to the depletion of funds, marking the first such action in nearly 30 years [1][2]. - Approximately 30,000 judicial employees may be affected, with many being considered exempt due to their roles in upholding constitutional duties [3]. Economic Consequences - There has been a sharp increase in unemployment claims among federal workers, reaching the highest level since the last major shutdown in January 2019, with 7,244 new claims filed last week [4][6]. - The economic impact of the shutdown is expected to be significant, with estimates suggesting a GDP loss of approximately 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points for each week the shutdown continues [7]. Political Dynamics - Public opinion shows equal blame for both parties regarding the shutdown, complicating efforts to resolve the impasse [7]. - Analysts suggest that the shutdown could create potential opportunities for changes in policies, particularly regarding travel and healthcare [8].