Is Target Stock Going Private? 1 Analyst Thinks the Answer Could Be ‘Yes.’

Core Viewpoint - The discussion around a potential leveraged buyout (LBO) of Target Corporation has gained momentum, driven by a significant decline in its share price, which has fallen over 33% year-to-date and nearly 43% over the past five years [1][4]. Financial Performance - Target Corporation has a market capitalization of $40.42 billion and offers a steady dividend with an annual forward payout of $4.56 per share, resulting in a yield of 5.22% [4]. - The company's stock is currently priced at $90.26, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 33.42% and a 52-week decline of 42.26% [4]. - In the second quarter of 2025, Target reported net sales of $25.2 billion, which represents a year-over-year decrease of 0.9%, although it shows improvement from the first quarter [6]. Valuation Metrics - Target's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 11.77x, which is below the retail sector's median of 15.89x, indicating a compressed valuation relative to peers [5]. - The company's PEG ratio is 2.54x, also trailing the sector median of 2.71x, further supporting the notion of a potential LBO [5]. Market Strategy - Target has launched its largest Circle Week promotion to date, offering savings of up to 50% from October 5 to 11, as part of an aggressive strategy to stimulate demand amid a challenging year [2]. Economic Environment - Recent Federal Reserve rate cuts, including a quarter-point reduction to approximately 4.1%, have created a favorable environment for leveraged financing, which could facilitate potential buyouts [3].