Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-10-19 04:21Market Overview - The U.S. government shutdown continues, impacting economic data releases and complicating interest rate outlooks [3] - U.S. stock markets saw gains, with the Dow Jones up 1.56%, Nasdaq up 2.14%, and S&P 500 up 1.70% [1] - European stock indices showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 down 0.77%, Germany's DAX 30 down 1.69%, and France's CAC 40 up 3.24% [1] Economic Data and Forecasts - The U.S. Bureau for Labor Statistics is expected to release September CPI data on October 24, which will be closely monitored due to the ongoing government shutdown [3] - HSBC anticipates that high tariffs will continue to impact inflation, particularly in import-heavy sectors [3] - The upcoming PMI data for October will be significant for assessing labor market health and consumer confidence amid the shutdown [3] Earnings Season - The earnings season is gaining momentum, with key companies like Netflix, Tesla, and Intel set to report their results [4] - Other notable companies to watch include General Electric, Honeywell, and Procter & Gamble [4] Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices have declined for the third consecutive week, with WTI down 2.31% to $57.54 per barrel and Brent down 2.30% to $61.29 per barrel [5] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a worsening oversupply of crude oil by 2026, which is pressuring prices [5] - U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 3.5 million barrels to 423.8 million barrels, exceeding expectations [5] Gold Market Trends - Gold prices experienced a pullback after reaching a historical high of $4,380 per ounce, but still recorded a weekly gain of 5.38% [5][6] - Long-term demand for gold remains supported by expectations of interest rate cuts and ongoing fiscal deficits [6] European Economic Outlook - The European Central Bank is expected to maintain interest rates until mid-next year, with potential for rate cuts rather than hikes [7] - The upcoming October PMI data is anticipated to reflect the economic impact of recent political uncertainties in France [7] UK Economic Indicators - Recent employment data from the UK showed weakness, with expectations for the September CPI data to indicate inflationary pressures [8] - The Bank of England is projected to keep rates steady until the end of the year, with potential cuts starting in February 2026 [8]