Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-10-20 06:21Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities predicts Tencent Holdings' Q3 revenue will grow by 14.1% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit increasing by 9% to 65.2 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Forecast - Game revenue is expected to grow by 19% year-on-year [1] - Advertising revenue is projected to benefit from AI, with a potential year-on-year growth rate of 20% [1] - Financial technology revenue is anticipated to recover to an 11% year-on-year growth [1] Group 2: Key Catalysts - The game "Delta Action" has surpassed 30 million daily active users (DAU) as of September, becoming a new long-term shooter game for Tencent [1] - The estimated revenue for "Delta Action" is projected to reach between 12 billion to 18 billion yuan by 2026 [1] - The advertising business is expected to maintain high growth rates due to improved ROI driven by AI, with accelerated launches and iterations of AI Agent products [1] Group 3: Long-term Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for Tencent are adjusted to 755 billion, 851 billion, and 937 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts are set at 257 billion, 291.7 billion, and 333.6 billion yuan for the same years [1] - The target price for Tencent is set at 759.47 HKD, corresponding to a 24.8 times P/E ratio for 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]