Robust Global Loan Issuances to Support Moody's Q3 Earnings

Core Insights - Moody's is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, with strong revenue growth anticipated in its Corporate Finance line, the largest revenue contributor within the Moody's Investors Service division [1][2] Corporate Finance - Global bond issuance activity remained healthy in the third quarter, driven by strong corporate refinancing needs, leading to robust leveraged loan issuance [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Corporate Finance revenues is $548.7 million, indicating a 6.5% increase year-over-year [2][10] Financial Institutions and Other Business Lines - The consensus estimate for revenues from the Financial Institutions business line is $174.9 million, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 2.9% [3] - Public, Project, and Infrastructure Finance business revenues are estimated at $155.2 million, implying nearly 1% growth [3] Structured Finance - Quarterly issuance volumes for collateral debt obligations were robust, with marginal improvements in commercial mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities [4] - The consensus estimate for Structured Finance revenues stands at $145.7 million, suggesting a 7.9% increase [4][10] Overall MIS Division Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MIS division revenues is $1.12 billion, implying an 8.9% year-over-year rise [5] Moody's Analytics Division - Revenues from the Moody's Analytics division are expected to have increased, with a consensus estimate of $909.52 million, indicating 9.1% growth from the prior year [6][7] - Increased expenses are anticipated due to costs related to acquisitions and restructuring efforts [7] Strategic Developments - Moody's plans to secure majority equity ownership in MERIS, a domestic credit rating agency in Egypt, enhancing its presence in the Middle East and Africa [8][9] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $3.65, reflecting a 13.7% rise from the previous year [12] - The consensus estimate for sales is $1.95 billion, suggesting a 7.6% increase [13]