巴以谈判前代表萨伊格接受《环球时报》专访：加沙治理将是一个巨大挑战

Core Viewpoint - The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas is seen as a starting point for new political, military, and humanitarian negotiations rather than an end to the conflict [1][2]. Governance Challenges - The governance of Gaza post-ceasefire is a significant challenge, as the Palestinian Authority has not managed Gaza since 2007, leading to a lack of governance experience and basic service provision [2][3]. - An effective governance structure is necessary to restore market operations and manage essential services, which may require utilizing personnel with experience from Hamas and local civil society organizations [3]. Disarmament and Military Threats - Hamas's refusal to fully disarm poses a risk of escalating tensions, particularly with local tribes reportedly controlling 80% of Gaza, which could lead to internal conflict if Hamas disarms [4][5]. - There is potential for a compromise regarding disarmament, but Hamas remains cautious about relying on Israeli security forces due to past failures in ceasefire negotiations [4]. Ceasefire Durability and International Involvement - The immediate future of the ceasefire appears stable due to strong U.S. intervention, but there are concerns about the implementation of subsequent actions, such as deploying international stabilization forces in Gaza [5][6]. - Establishing an international governance body is crucial for Gaza's reconstruction and economic recovery, alongside ensuring the free movement of residents and resources [6]. Regional Geopolitical Changes - The geopolitical landscape in the Middle East has shifted significantly, with a decline in Hezbollah's military power and Iran's influence, while Gulf states like Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar have emerged as key players [7][8]. - The U.S. is strengthening ties with Gulf nations, focusing on commercial interests and military cooperation, which may influence future regional dynamics [7][8].