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调查显示韩国央行本周可能维持利率不变
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-10-21 03:11

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Korea is expected to maintain its policy interest rate at 2.50% for the third consecutive time during the upcoming policy meeting, with analysts predicting no rate cuts in October and some delaying expectations for cuts to November or later due to ongoing risks from household debt growth and a heated real estate market [1]. Group 1: Interest Rate Outlook - All 28 analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal anticipate that there will be no interest rate cuts in October [1]. - Some analysts have pushed back their expectations for rate cuts to November or later, citing concerns over household debt and the real estate market [1]. Group 2: Economic Concerns - Analysts highlight the risks associated with rising household debt and an overheated real estate market in Seoul, which could be exacerbated by lower borrowing costs [1]. - Barclays economist Bum Ki Son notes that the Bank of Korea seems skeptical about the stabilization of the real estate market and is concerned about the weakening of the Korean won, necessitating a more cautious approach [1]. Group 3: Future Projections - Barclays predicts that the Bank of Korea will lower interest rates in November [1].