英镑承压于疲弱 就业数据预期降息

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the decline of GBP/USD to around 1.3390, driven by disappointing UK employment data, which has raised speculation about the Bank of England potentially continuing to lower interest rates [1] - The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.8% for the three months ending in August, the highest level in four years, up from 4.7% in July [1] - Average wage growth for the same period decreased to 4.7%, indicating potential economic weakness [1] Group 2 - From a technical analysis perspective, GBP/USD has broken above the 100-period simple moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting potential for further upward movement [2] - Subsequent upward movement could target the 50% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.3480-1.3485, with a psychological barrier at 1.3500 [2] - A breakthrough above 1.3500 could trigger further bullish momentum, aiming for the next resistance level near 1.3545-1.3550, or the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level [2]