Core Viewpoint - Several regional banks in China have accelerated the pace of deposit rate cuts, with some products seeing reductions of up to 80 basis points, indicating a trend of decreasing deposit interest rates across various banks [1] Group 1: Deposit Rate Cuts - Banks such as Pingyang Pudong Development Rural Bank, Fujian Huatong Bank, and Huixian Zhujiang Rural Bank have announced reductions in deposit rates since October [1] - There is a phenomenon of "inverted yield" on deposit rates across different bank types, with some banks offering better rates for shorter-term deposits compared to longer-term ones, exemplified by China Construction Bank's three-year deposit rate at 1.55% and five-year rate at 1.3% [1] Group 2: Impact on the Banking Industry - The reduction in deposit rates may lead to a "deposit migration" where funds shift towards mid-risk low-volatility dividend ETFs, which have seen significant net inflows over the past 20 trading days [1] - Conversely, the rate cuts could alleviate pressure on banks' interest margins, helping to stabilize net interest income, which has shown improvement compared to previous negative growth trends [1] - According to China International Capital Corporation, the net profit of listed banks is expected to grow by 1% year-on-year by Q3 2025, indicating overall profitability remains stable [1]
存款降息加速，银行业喜忧参半