智通财经网·2025-10-21 06:25Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Pop Mart (09992), citing factors such as the overseas organizational structure promoting healthy growth and the strong potential of IP products like LABUBU and Starry People [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The adjusted net profit forecasts for Pop Mart for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are raised to 10.96 billion, 14.92 billion, and 18.31 billion yuan respectively, up from previous estimates of 10.37 billion, 14.21 billion, and 17.36 billion yuan [1] - The corresponding adjusted PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 32.3x, 23.8x, and 19.4x [1] Group 2: Business Performance Expectations - For Q3 2025, the company is expected to achieve a year-on-year revenue growth of 154.2%, with an absolute value of 9.17 billion yuan, and a quarter-on-quarter growth of approximately 8.9% [2] - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 is anticipated to grow by 198.6% year-on-year, amounting to 3.03 billion yuan [2] - The assumptions for Q3 2025 include an adjusted profit margin of 33% and a profit contribution ratio of 27.5% to the annual adjusted profit [2]