Will Ford Stock Rise On Q3 Earnings?

Core Insights - Ford Motor is set to announce its Q3 2025 earnings on October 23, 2025, with consensus estimates projecting earnings of $0.35 per share, down from $0.49 per share in the same period last year, while revenues are expected to rise slightly to approximately $43.42 billion [2] - The company reported robust sales in the United States, with 545,522 vehicles sold in Q3, marking an 8.2% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for electric vehicles and federal tax incentives [2] - Ford's F-Series trucks sold 207,732 units, reflecting a 4.7% year-over-year increase, although international sales are expected to be weaker [2] Financial Performance - Ford has a current market capitalization of $46 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months amounting to $185 billion, operational profits of $2.9 billion, and a net income of $3.2 billion [3] - The company's performance will be closely monitored in relation to consensus expectations, which may influence trading strategies [3] Earnings Reaction History - Historical data shows that Ford has had 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with a 50% occurrence of positive one-day post-earnings returns, which drops to 42% when considering the last three years [5] - The median of positive returns is 2.6%, while the median of negative returns is -8.0% [5] Return Correlation - An analysis of the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings can provide insights for trading strategies, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [6] - The correlation data from the last five years and three years can help traders position themselves effectively based on historical performance [6]