Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-10-21 11:54Core Insights - The optical module sector is experiencing significant growth, particularly driven by the performance of leading companies in the AI and optical module markets [1][4][5] Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext AI sector, particularly optical modules, has seen a resurgence, with major stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng achieving substantial gains, with Zhongji Xuchuang rising over 9% and Xinyi Sheng nearly 11% [1][2] - The leading AI ETF, tracking the ChiNext AI index, has also performed well, increasing by 5.59% and showing strong trading volume exceeding 1.1 billion [2][4] Group 2: Demand Drivers - Future demand for optical modules is expected to surge, with projections indicating that the shipment of 1.6T optical modules could increase from 8 million to over 20 million by 2026, and 800G optical module shipments could reach 50 million next year and 100 million the following year [4][5] - The anticipated growth in data centers' demand for high-speed optical modules is driving rapid development across the entire industry chain [4] Group 3: Earnings Expectations - Analysts predict a significant increase in net profit for the optical communication sector, with a projected year-on-year growth of 167% by Q3 2025, driven by sustained demand for 800G optical modules [4][5] - Leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are expected to continue their high growth trajectory, supported by the anticipated increase in 1.6T optical module production [4] Group 4: Valuation Potential - Valuation assessments indicate that leading optical module companies have significant upside potential, as their actual performance PE is notably lower than consensus expectations and historical peaks [5] - The increasing adoption of ASIC technology and the ongoing evolution of high-speed optical modules are expected to necessitate a reevaluation of these companies' valuations [5]