Gold Slumps Most in Four Years as Record-Breaking Rally Cools

Core Insights - Gold prices experienced a significant decline, dropping as much as 3.8% after reaching a peak of $4,381.52 per ounce, marking the largest drop in four years [1] - The recent rally in gold has pushed technical indicators into overbought territory, while a strengthening US dollar has made gold more expensive for buyers [1] - Demand for precious metals has decreased due to upcoming trade discussions between US President Donald Trump and China's Xi Jinping, alongside the conclusion of seasonal buying in India [2] Market Dynamics - Traders are increasingly cautious, with concerns about a potential market correction and consolidation arising in recent trading sessions [3] - The ongoing US government shutdown has resulted in the absence of key positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which may lead to speculative trading behavior [3][4] - Volatility in precious metals has increased, with over 2 million options contracts linked to gold ETFs traded, surpassing previous records [5] Historical Context - Current gold ETF holdings have not yet reached historical peaks, suggesting that rallies may continue longer; however, historical trends indicate that momentum typically fades and buying can turn into selling [6] - If delayed economic data reveals a stronger US economy than expected, a significant pullback in gold prices may occur [6]