Unveiling First Citizens (FCNCA) Q3 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $41.51, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.5%, with revenues projected at $2.22 billion, down 9.4% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted upward by 0.3%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Key Financial Metrics - Analysts predict a 'Net Interest Margin' of 3.2%, down from 3.5% a year ago [4]. - The 'Efficiency Ratio' is expected to be 58.9%, compared to 59.5% in the previous year [5]. - 'Book value per share' is projected to reach $1661.88, up from $1547.81 a year ago [5]. - 'Average Balance - Total interest-earning assets' is forecasted at $210.22 billion, an increase from $200.50 billion in the same quarter last year [5]. Loan and Asset Projections - 'Nonaccrual loans at period end' are estimated at $1.31 billion, up from $1.24 billion a year ago [6]. - 'Total nonperforming assets' are expected to reach $1.41 billion, compared to $1.31 billion in the previous year [6]. Income Estimates - 'Net Interest Income' is projected at $1.71 billion, down from $1.80 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - The consensus for 'Total Noninterest Income' stands at $534.97 million, compared to $650.00 million a year ago [7]. - 'Factoring commissions' are expected to be $18.03 million, down from $19.00 million last year [8]. - 'Cardholder services, net' is estimated at $41.81 million, slightly down from $42.00 million in the previous year [8]. Fee and Service Charges - 'Deposit fees and service charges' are projected at $59.83 million, up from $45.00 million a year ago [9]. - 'Merchant services, net' is expected to arrive at $13.07 million, compared to $12.00 million last year [9]. Stock Performance - Shares of First Citizens have shown a return of -5.6% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change [9].