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TTD vs. PUBM: Which Ad-Tech Stock Is the Smarter Pick for Now?
ZACKSยท2025-10-21 14:26

Core Insights - The Trade Desk (TTD) and PubMatic (PUBM) are key players in the programmatic advertising ecosystem, with TTD focusing on demand-side platform (DSP) services and PUBM on sell-side platform services [1][8] - Both companies are significantly exposed to the growing Connected TV (CTV) and retail media trends, making them interesting for investors in the expanding digital ad market [2] Group 1: The Trade Desk (TTD) - TTD is cautious about the impact of macroeconomic conditions on large global brands, which may pressure revenue growth due to reduced programmatic demand [3] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major players like Google and Amazon dominating the DSP space, posing challenges for TTD [4] - Despite challenges, TTD's expanding CTV presence is a strong advantage, as CTV is the fastest-growing segment in digital advertising [5] - TTD has established partnerships with major companies like Disney, NBCU, and Roku, focusing on live sports streaming as a key part of its CTV strategy [6] - The AI-powered Kokai platform is enhancing TTD's competitive edge, with over 70% client adoption expected to be completed this year [7] Group 2: PubMatic (PUBM) - PubMatic is diversifying its DSP mix and investing in CTV and emerging revenue streams, with CTV revenues accounting for nearly 20% of total revenues [8][9] - The company has expanded partnerships with 26 of the top 30 global streamers, indicating its ability to secure premium inventory [9] - PubMatic's revenues from emerging streams have more than doubled year over year, representing 8% of total second-quarter revenues [10] - The Activate platform is becoming a significant growth driver, with buying activity more than doubling as advertisers seek better control and transparency [11] - PubMatic expects third-quarter revenues of $61-$66 million, down from $71.8 million year-over-year, due to a revised bidding approach from a major client [12] Group 3: Share Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, PUBM and TTD have experienced losses of 43.3% and 55.3%, respectively, amid macroeconomic uncertainties [13] - Valuation metrics indicate TTD is overvalued with a price/book ratio of 9.52X, while PUBM has a more favorable ratio of 1.56X [15] - PUBM currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), while TTD has a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting PUBM may be a better investment choice at this time [18]