Group 1 Automotive(US:GPI) ZACKS·2025-10-21 15:01Core Viewpoint - Group 1 Automotive (GPI) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 28, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $10.64 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +7.5%, with revenues expected to reach $5.63 billion, up 7.8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.69% higher, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Group 1 Automotive is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.43%, suggesting a bullish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - Group 1 Automotive has a Zacks Rank of 3, which, along with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Group 1 Automotive was expected to post earnings of $10.31 per share but delivered $11.52, resulting in a surprise of +11.74% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - In the broader automotive retail and wholesale industry, AutoNation is also expected to report earnings of $4.85 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of +20.7% and revenues of $6.86 billion, up 4.1% [18][19].