Enphase Energy (ENPH) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Core Insights - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in Enphase Energy's earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with earnings expected at $0.62 per share, reflecting a -4.6% change, and revenues projected at $361.79 million, down 5% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 28, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.56% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - Enphase Energy has a positive Earnings ESP of +11.90%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook, but the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and this rank suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Enphase Energy exceeded the expected earnings of $0.62 per share by delivering $0.69, resulting in a surprise of +11.29% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Comparison - Nextracker, another player in the solar industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.99 per share for the same quarter, reflecting a +2.1% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $827.35 million, up 30.2% [18]. - Nextracker's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.2% higher, but it currently has a negative Earnings ESP of -4.57% and a Zacks Rank of 4, indicating challenges in predicting an earnings beat [19].