特朗普重申：莫迪告诉我 印度将停止购买俄罗斯石油

Group 1: U.S.-India Relations and Oil Imports - President Trump claimed that Indian Prime Minister Modi assured him that India would stop purchasing Russian oil, although the Indian Foreign Ministry denied any such conversation took place [1] - India has accelerated its imports of Russian oil, averaging 1.8 million barrels per day in the first half of October, an increase of approximately 250,000 barrels per day compared to September [2] - Russian oil constitutes about 34% of India's total oil imports, driven by attractive discounts and high margins on Russian crude [2] Group 2: Trade Negotiations and Tariffs - Ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and India aim to reach an agreement next month, with reported narrowing of differences on trade issues [4] - The U.S. imposed a 50% import tariff on Indian goods starting in late August, which has led to a significant drop in India's exports to the U.S., down 20% year-on-year in September [5][6] - India's trade deficit widened to $32.15 billion in September, the highest in 13 months, exacerbated by the decline in exports [7] Group 3: Economic Impact and Future Projections - Estimates suggest that India's exports to the U.S. could decline by 30% in the fiscal year ending March 2026, dropping from $86.5 billion to $60.6 billion [8] - The high tariffs are expected to adversely affect small and medium enterprises and farmers in India, as criticized by opposition leaders [8]