Mortgage and refinance interest rates today, October 21, 2025: A tiny move lower

Core Insights - Mortgage rates are currently decreasing, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at 6.15% and the 15-year fixed rate at 5.48% [1] - The 30-year rate has dropped by more than a quarter point in the last three weeks, indicating a potential opportunity for locking in rates [1] Current Mortgage Rates - The national average for the 30-year fixed mortgage is 6.15%, while the 15-year fixed is at 5.48% [5][16] - Refinance rates are generally higher than purchase rates, with the current 30-year refinance rate at 6.24% [5][16] Mortgage Comparison - A $400,000 mortgage at a 30-year term with a 6.15% rate results in a monthly payment of approximately $2,437, leading to $477,289 in interest over the term [8] - Conversely, a 15-year mortgage at a 5.48% rate would require a monthly payment of about $3,264, resulting in $187,536 in interest [8] Rate Trends and Predictions - Economists do not anticipate significant drops in mortgage rates before the end of 2025, despite recent Federal Reserve rate cuts [13][17] - The CME FedWatch tool indicates a nearly 99% chance of a quarter-point cut in the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting [14] Adjustable vs. Fixed-Rate Mortgages - Fixed-rate mortgages lock in the interest rate from the start, while adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) can change after an initial fixed period [10][11] - ARMs may start with lower rates but carry the risk of increases after the initial period [12]