金价大跌

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant sell-off in gold and silver markets was driven by geopolitical factors and profit-taking by investors, leading to the largest single-day price drops in over a decade for both metals [1][6]. Group 1: Market Impact - On the 21st, international spot gold prices fell over 6%, dropping below $4100 per ounce, marking the largest single-day decline in 12 years [1]. - International spot silver prices experienced a decline of over 8%, falling below $48 per ounce, which is the largest single-day drop since 2021 [1]. - Following the international trends, domestic gold jewelry prices in China were significantly reduced on the 22nd, with major brands like Lao Miao and Zhou Sheng Sheng reporting price drops of 83 RMB and 39 RMB per gram, respectively [3]. Group 2: Price Trends and Analysis - Since the beginning of the year, international spot gold prices have increased by over 50%, while silver prices have risen nearly 70% [6]. - Analysts suggest that the previous surge in precious metal prices was due to heightened geopolitical tensions, which drove investors towards safe-haven assets [6][7]. - The recent price correction is attributed to profit-taking and a decrease in safe-haven demand, with expectations that any further declines in gold prices could be viewed as buying opportunities if the Federal Reserve maintains its current interest rate path [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The future trajectory of the gold market remains uncertain, with some analysts indicating a higher likelihood of price declines unless high-net-worth investors continue to significantly increase their gold holdings [8]. - HSBC's recent commodity outlook report suggests that gold's upward momentum could persist until 2026, driven by strong central bank purchases and ongoing fiscal concerns in the U.S., with a target price of $5000 per ounce [9].