Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2025-10-22 02:55Core Viewpoint - The listed insurance companies are expected to report significant profit growth for the first three quarters of 2025, driven primarily by improved investment returns due to a recovering capital market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Performance Expectations - Xinhua Insurance, China Life, and PICC have announced profit increases ranging from 40% to 70% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025 [1][2]. - The total net profit for the five major listed insurance companies in A-shares is projected to reach approximately 319.03 billion yuan, marking a 78.3% year-on-year increase, the highest for the same period historically [1]. - China Life expects its net profit to be between 156.79 billion yuan and 177.69 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 52.26 billion yuan to 73.17 billion yuan compared to 2024, reflecting a growth of 50% to 70% [2]. Group 2: Investment Returns - The strong profit growth is attributed to improved investment returns, with companies increasing their equity investments in response to a stable stock market [2][3]. - Xinhua Insurance reported that its investment income continued to grow significantly year-on-year, benefiting from a favorable capital market environment [3]. - The proportion of equity investments measured at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL) is high for these companies, allowing them to fully benefit from stock market gains [3]. Group 3: Premium Income and Cost Ratios - Xinhua Insurance reported a 19% year-on-year increase in original insurance premium income, totaling 172.70 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [5]. - China Pacific Insurance's life insurance segment achieved a premium income of 232.44 billion yuan, a 10.9% increase, while its property insurance segment saw a slight increase of 0.1% [5]. - The overall combined ratio (COR) for listed insurance companies is expected to improve, driven by lower claims from natural disasters and the implementation of a unified reporting and pricing system for non-auto insurance [5][6].