增量约1.4万亿元！第三季度银行理财规模大幅增长，业内预计全年高点有望达33.5万亿元

Core Insights - The banking wealth management industry has surpassed 32 trillion yuan, reaching 32.1 trillion yuan by the end of September 2023, with a significant increase of approximately 1.4 trillion yuan in the third quarter compared to the end of June 2023 [1][2] - The growth in the banking wealth management scale was characterized by a "rise and then fall" pattern, with a notable increase of 2 trillion yuan in July, followed by a decrease of 850 billion yuan in September due to seasonal factors and increased cash demand before the National Day holiday [1][3] - The decline in September was temporary, and it is expected that the scale will recover in October as the pressure from quarterly assessments eases and liquidity demand decreases after the holidays [2][3] Industry Trends - Fixed-income products dominate the banking wealth management market, accounting for over 95% of the total product scale, as they offer stable returns that align with the risk tolerance of most investors [3][4] - The average annualized yield for closed-end fixed-income wealth management products decreased in the third quarter of 2023, with a near one-month yield of 2.30% and a near three-month yield of 2.73%, reflecting a downward trend in interest rates [4] - The "fixed-income plus" products are gaining popularity among investors seeking higher returns, combining stable fixed-income assets with riskier assets like stocks or convertible bonds [4][5] Future Projections - The growth of "fixed-income plus" products is expected to continue, with an anticipated increase in scale exceeding 1.4 trillion yuan for the year, contributing to an overall wealth management scale projected to surpass 33.5 trillion yuan [5][6]