二级资本债赎回分化加剧 中小银行资本补充难题待解 有央行分行拟推行\"不赎回\"24小时上报机制

Core Viewpoint - The secondary capital bond market for commercial banks is experiencing a rare divergence, with large banks redeeming old bonds while some small and medium-sized banks are opting not to redeem, highlighting the differing capital adequacy pressures faced by these institutions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Large Banks' Actions - Major banks like Bank of China and China Construction Bank have fully redeemed hundreds of billions in secondary capital bonds, optimizing their capital structure through "old debt for new" strategies [1][2]. - As of September 2025, the 10-year government bond yield remains around 1.8%, while the interest rates on bonds issued in 2020 range from 4% to 4.73%, prompting banks to redeem high-interest old bonds to lower their funding costs [2][3]. Group 2: Small and Medium-Sized Banks' Decisions - In contrast, smaller banks such as Fuxin Bank and Nanchang Rural Commercial Bank have chosen not to exercise their redemption rights, indicating a reluctance to lose existing bonds with relatively high interest rates [3][4]. - The decision not to redeem is largely due to these banks' capital adequacy ratios nearing regulatory limits, with Nanchang Rural Commercial Bank's capital adequacy ratio reported at 10.34% as of the end of 2024 [4]. Group 3: Regulatory Response - Regulatory bodies are responding to the non-redemption trend by requiring banks to report any decision not to redeem secondary capital bonds within 24 hours, indicating a recognition of the potential risks associated with these decisions [5]. - This regulatory move aims to mitigate information asymmetry and prevent localized risks from spreading, as non-redemption could raise concerns about a bank's operational health and increase future financing costs [5][6]. Group 4: Future Strategies for Small Banks - To address capital replenishment challenges, small banks are encouraged to diversify their capital sources, including the use of perpetual bonds and other methods to enhance core capital [6]. - Improving equity structures and attracting strategic investors or local government funds are also seen as effective ways to strengthen capital bases for small banks [6].