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《节能与新能源汽车技术路线图3.0》发布:至2040年L4级智能网联汽车全面普及
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-10-22 11:52

Core Viewpoint - The "Technology Roadmap 3.0" aims to establish a new automotive industry ecosystem by 2040, addressing the challenges of low-carbon, electrification, and intelligent transformation in the automotive sector [1][2] Summary by Sections Goals for the Automotive Industry - The roadmap sets six major goals for the automotive industry by 2040, including: 1. Carbon emissions will peak by 2028, ahead of national commitments, and decrease by over 60% from peak levels by 2040 [2] 2. New energy vehicle penetration will exceed 80%, accelerating the transition to full electrification [2] 3. A mature ecosystem for intelligent connected vehicles will be established, with large-scale application of high-level autonomous driving products [2] 4. Collaborative development in education, technology, and talent will position China as a global leader in automotive technology innovation [2] 5. A modern automotive industry cluster will be created, focusing on innovation, data-driven approaches, and sustainable development [2] 6. Chinese brands will significantly enhance their global competitiveness, integrating deeply with the global industry system [2] Market Projections - By 2030, new energy passenger vehicles are expected to account for approximately 70% of annual new passenger car sales, with a 5:5 ratio of BEV (Battery Electric Vehicles) to PHEV (Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles) [3] - By 2035, this ratio will shift to 80% for new energy vehicles, with a 6:4 ratio of BEV to PHEV [3] - By 2040, new energy passenger vehicles will represent 85% of new sales, with an 8:2 ratio of BEV to PHEV [3] - New energy commercial vehicles will expand from urban short-distance applications to medium and long-distance scenarios, achieving a penetration rate of around 75% by 2040 [3] Fuel Consumption and Vehicle Technology - By 2040, the average fuel consumption of new traditional energy passenger vehicles is projected to reach 3.5 liters per 100 kilometers [4] - L4-level intelligent connected vehicles will be fully popularized, while L5-level vehicles will begin to enter the market [4] - The industry will focus on quality improvement, efficiency enhancement, cost reduction, and low-carbon initiatives through interconnected data systems [4]