COF's Q3 Earnings Top on Discover Deal, New Buyback Plan Boosts Stock

Core Insights - Capital One (COF) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, driven by the acquisition of Discover Financial Services, with adjusted earnings of $5.95 per share exceeding estimates and a 23% increase in total net revenues to $15.36 billion [1][9] Financial Performance - The company's net interest income (NII) rose 24% to $12.4 billion, with net interest margin (NIM) expanding by 74 basis points to 8.36% due to higher interest on credit card loans and lower rates on deposits [5] - Non-interest income increased by 18% to $2.96 billion, primarily from net interchange income and service charges [7] - Capital One's provision for credit losses decreased significantly by 76% to $2.71 billion, following a prior quarter's allowance related to the Discover acquisition [8] Market Position and Strategy - Following the Discover acquisition, Capital One became the largest U.S. credit card issuer by balances, with a credit card loan portfolio of $272 billion [4] - The board authorized a new share repurchase plan of up to $16 billion and plans to increase the quarterly dividend by 33.3% to 80 cents per share, pending board approval [3] Consumer Behavior - Resilient consumer spending, particularly on essential goods, contributed to a 14% sequential increase in purchase volume on Capital One credit cards, reaching $230.4 billion [6]