Magnolia Oil & Gas(US:MGY) ZACKS·2025-10-22 15:07Core Viewpoint - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook being crucial for assessing the company's earnings picture [1] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 21.2% [3] - Revenues are projected to be $319.2 million, which is a decline of 4.2% compared to the same quarter last year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.64% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +2.06% [12] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10] - However, the current Zacks Rank for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, the company exceeded the expected earnings of $0.40 per share by delivering $0.43, resulting in a surprise of +7.50% [13] - Over the past four quarters, Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates each time [14] Market Reaction Considerations - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15] - It is advisable for investors to consider the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before the quarterly release to enhance the likelihood of success [16]