Penske Automotive (US:PAG) ZACKS·2025-10-22 15:07Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Penske Automotive (PAG) due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Penske Automotive is expected to report quarterly earnings of $3.48 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.6% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $7.74 billion, indicating a 2% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.22% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. - The current Earnings ESP for Penske is -0.41%, suggesting a lower Most Accurate Estimate compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - Penske's combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Penske exceeded earnings expectations by +6.18%, with actual earnings of $3.78 per share compared to an expected $3.56 [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Penske has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Comparison - Asbury Automotive Group (ABG), a competitor in the automotive retail and wholesale industry, is expected to report earnings of $6.8 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +7.1% [18]. - Asbury's revenue is projected at $4.69 billion, up 10.7% from the previous year, but it also has a negative Earnings ESP of -1.73% [19][20].