Caterpillar(US:CAT) ZACKS·2025-10-22 15:08Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Caterpillar (CAT) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending September 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Caterpillar is expected to post quarterly earnings of $4.52 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.6%, while revenues are projected to reach $16.75 billion, a 4% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.44% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows a positive Earnings ESP of +1.44% for Caterpillar, suggesting recent bullish sentiment among analysts, although the stock holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Caterpillar was expected to earn $4.88 per share but only achieved $4.72, resulting in a surprise of -3.28%. Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13][14]. Conclusion - While Caterpillar may not be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].