NXPI Likely to Beat Q3 Earnings Estimates: How to Play the Stock

Core Insights - NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 27, with expected revenues between $3.05 billion and $3.25 billion, reflecting a 2.6% year-over-year decline [1][9] Revenue Expectations - The consensus estimate for NXPI's revenues is $3.15 billion, indicating a slight decrease compared to the previous year [1][9] - Automotive revenues are projected at $1.8 billion, showing a minor decline of 0.2% year-over-year [3] - Industrial and IoT revenues are estimated at $512 million, representing a 9.1% decline from the previous year [4] - Communications Infrastructure revenues are expected to be $411.8 million, down 8.7% year-over-year [5] - Mobile end market revenues are anticipated to be $402.7 million, indicating a 1% decline from the year-ago quarter [6] Earnings Projections - NXP anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share between $2.89 and $3.30, with a consensus estimate of $3.11 per share, reflecting a 9.9% year-over-year decline [2] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 1.5% [2] Market Conditions - The third-quarter performance is expected to be influenced by stabilizing demand in the Automotive sector, while facing challenges in the Communication Infrastructure market due to a shift towards gallium nitride products and reduced base station deployments [3][5] - Broader macroeconomic indicators, such as softer global manufacturing PMIs and cautious outlooks from Western automakers, are impacting demand in industrial and IoT markets [4]