低利率环境下的资产配置

Group 1 - The global low interest rate environment has become a common phenomenon due to multiple factors such as continuous monetary policy easing, slowing technological progress, changes in capital investment patterns, and population aging [1][3][5] - Major economies like the US, Japan, and Europe have experienced low or even negative interest rates, leading to a decline in the attractiveness of fixed-income assets while increasing the appeal of equity assets [1][12][21] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding asset allocation logic and practical experience in a low interest rate environment for future investment in the Chinese capital market [2][25] Group 2 - In a low interest rate environment, the investment value of fixed-income assets declines, while the attractiveness of equity assets significantly increases [6][7] - Recommendations for asset allocation include focusing on diversified or low-volatility bond assets, increasing equity asset allocation, and considering real estate and commodities like gold [26][27][28] Group 3 - Historical data shows that during low interest rate periods, equity assets tend to achieve significant absolute and relative returns, particularly in sectors with high growth potential such as technology and healthcare [7][27] - The performance of bond assets becomes complex in a low interest rate environment, necessitating careful management of risk and return through strategies like duration management and credit bond allocation [9][26] Group 4 - The article provides insights into the asset performance experiences of major economies during low interest rate periods, highlighting that while there are commonalities, there are also differences that can inform asset allocation strategies [12][21] - In the US, technology stocks have shown remarkable performance during low interest rate phases, driven by lower financing costs and increased market valuations [13][16] - Japan's experience indicates that both stock and real estate assets benefit from low interest rates, although bond assets may lose their appeal in certain phases [17][19] Group 5 - In Europe, stock assets have generally outperformed during low interest rate periods, with real estate prices rising significantly after interest rates reached historical lows [21][24] - The article concludes with a forecast for China's interest rate trends, suggesting that the current low interest rate environment will likely persist, supporting economic stability and growth [25][28]