TI(US:TXN) Youtubeยท2025-10-22 18:13Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments shares fell approximately 7% following a weaker than expected fourth quarter outlook, indicating a slower recovery in the semiconductor industry compared to previous cycles [1][2]. Company Summary - Texas Instruments noted that while the semiconductor industry is recovering, the pace is slower than prior upturns, leading to a cautious outlook [2]. - The company guided for a seasonal quarter with a projected sequential decline of 6% in the December quarter, reflecting ongoing challenges in inventory management and demand [6][13]. - Texas Instruments has a history of conservative guidance, having beaten its forecasts by 2% to 4% in the last four quarters, suggesting potential upside in their current guidance [13]. Industry Summary - The semiconductor supply chain has been cautious, with companies preferring to pay expedite fees rather than rebuild inventory safety stocks due to past experiences with inventory build-up during COVID [4]. - There is a concern in the supply chain about low inventories, with expectations that supply may become tight in the first half of the year, potentially leading to allocation issues [7][8]. - Demand remains strong in specific sectors such as data centers, AI, and electric vehicles, while industrial and automotive sectors show ongoing softness [8][10]. - Sequential growth was observed in industrial (up 4%), automotive (up 10%), and communications equipment (up 10%) [9][10].