多项数据印证“两新”政策激活消费动能

Core Insights - The "Two New" policy, which includes subsidies for replacing old consumer goods and updating equipment, has shown significant positive effects on consumption and investment in various sectors [1][3][4]. Group 1: Consumer Goods - In the first three quarters, retail sales of home appliances, such as refrigerators and televisions, increased by 48.3% and 26.8% respectively, indicating a strong consumer response to the "Two New" policy [2][3]. - The furniture retail sector also experienced growth, with sales increasing by 21.3%, while communication equipment sales rose by 19.9% [2][3]. - The number of applications for vehicle trade-ins exceeded 8.3 million, averaging over 30,000 applications per day, reflecting the effectiveness of the old-for-new vehicle policy [2][3]. Group 2: Equipment Update - Investment in equipment and tools saw a year-on-year increase of 14.0%, driven by the 200 billion yuan subsidy for equipment updates, which has encouraged industries to enhance their technological capabilities [3][4]. - The procurement of machinery and equipment by industrial enterprises rose by 9.4%, with high-tech manufacturing showing a robust growth of 14% [3][4]. - Specific sectors such as general equipment manufacturing and transportation equipment manufacturing reported investment growth rates of 11.8% and 22.3% respectively [3][4]. Group 3: Policy Impact - The "Two New" policy is expected to further stimulate the transition towards high-end, intelligent, and green manufacturing, enhancing overall consumption potential [4][5]. - Experts suggest that the government may increase the support amount for the old-for-new program in the fourth quarter and consider issuing consumption vouchers nationwide [4][5]. - Future mechanisms will focus on long-term strategies for equipment updates, consumer goods replacement, recycling, and standard improvements, ensuring continuous policy support [5].