SoFi's Liz Thomas: This rally can continue but not without intermittent breakdowns in beta

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Earnings - The upcoming earnings from the "Mag 7" companies are expected to significantly influence market sentiment, with a focus on guidance and spending trends [2][4][5] - There is a current breakdown in market beta, leading to increased volatility as investors react to earnings reports [2][3] - The performance of value and high-quality stocks has been strong, while momentum stocks have faced declines, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3][4] Group 2: Capital Expenditure and Profitability - The market is looking for a "Goldilocks" scenario regarding capital expenditures (capex), where spending is expected to increase without leading to negative cash flows [5][6] - There is a concern that companies may overspend in the short term, which could create anxiety among investors [6] - The focus for 2025 will be on spending, while 2026 will shift towards actual profitability [4][5] Group 3: Company Performance and Expectations - Companies like Genova and Verdive have shown strong fundamentals, with Verdive reporting a 28% increase in total revenue and a 60% increase in orders [12][13] - Despite good earnings reports, stocks like Genova have experienced declines, highlighting the disconnect between earnings performance and stock market reactions [10][11] - The overall trajectory of stocks is expected to align with profits over time, regardless of current market sentiment [13]