West Fraser Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results

Core Viewpoint - West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. reported significant challenges in the third quarter of 2025, including supply and demand imbalances for wood-based products, elevated mortgage rates affecting housing affordability, and new tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber. The company remains committed to its strategy of maintaining operational flexibility and controlling costs while seeking long-term shareholder value [1][2]. Financial Performance - Third quarter sales were $1.307 billion, down from $1.532 billion in the second quarter of 2025. - The company reported a loss of $204 million, or $(2.63) per diluted share, compared to a loss of $24 million, or $(0.38) per diluted share in the previous quarter. - Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $(144) million, a decline from $84 million in Q2-25 [2][12]. Tariffs and Trade - The U.S. administration imposed a 10% Section 232 tariff on imported softwood timber and lumber effective October 14, 2025, in addition to existing duties on Canadian lumber [3]. - Canadian softwood lumber exports to the U.S. have faced trade disputes and tariffs since April 2017, impacting the company's operations [2]. Liquidity and Capital Allocation - Cash and short-term investments decreased to $546 million as of September 26, 2025, from $641 million at the end of 2024. - Capital expenditures in Q3-25 were $90 million, and the company paid $25 million in dividends, maintaining a dividend of $0.32 per share for the fourth quarter [5][6]. Market Outlook - The company anticipates medium to long-term demand for new home construction in North America due to factors such as improved housing affordability, a large population cohort entering home-buying age, and an aging housing stock [7][8]. - The seasonally adjusted annualized rate of U.S. housing starts was 1.31 million units in August 2025, with permits issued for the same number, indicating stable construction activity despite near-term uncertainties [9]. Operational Insights - The Lumber segment faced muted demand in Q3-25, leading to a reduction in shipment targets for both SPF and SYP products [11]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the Lumber segment was $(123) million, which included $67 million in export duty expenses [12][34]. Regional Demand - In Europe and the U.K., demand is expected to improve but remain challenging in the near term, with long-term growth anticipated due to the increasing use of OSB as an alternative to plywood [10]. - The global pulp market is experiencing disruptions due to U.S. tariffs, creating demand uncertainty in Chinese markets, although NBSK pricing is expected to remain stable [15].