李斌：外汇市场供求基本平衡

Core Insights - The foreign exchange market in China showed stable operation in September 2025, characterized by active and balanced cross-border capital flows and a relatively balanced supply and demand in the foreign exchange market [1][2] Group 1: Cross-Border Capital Flows - In September, the total cross-border income and expenditure for non-bank sectors, including enterprises and individuals, reached 1.37 trillion USD, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 7% [1] - Both current and capital account cross-border receipts and payments continued to grow, indicating robust development in China's foreign-related economy [1] - There was a slight net outflow of 3.1 billion USD in September due to seasonal effects from the "National Day" holiday, but this trend reversed to net inflow in October [1] Group 2: Foreign Exchange Market Supply and Demand - In September, the bank's customer settlement and sales of foreign exchange both saw significant month-on-month growth, with a settlement surplus of 51 billion USD [1] - The net settlement was higher in the first half of September, while the latter half showed a trend towards balance in settlement differences [1] - Since October, the bank's customer settlement and sales have been roughly equal, indicating a basic balance in the foreign exchange market supply and demand [1] Group 3: Overall Foreign Exchange Performance - For the first three quarters of the year, China's total foreign-related receipts and payments reached 11.6 trillion USD, setting a historical record for the same period [2] - There was a net inflow of 119.7 billion USD in cross-border capital, and a settlement surplus of 63.2 billion USD, both exceeding levels from the previous year [2] - Overall, despite a complex external environment, China's foreign exchange market has shown resilience and vitality, with stable market expectations and balanced supply and demand [2]