智通财经网·2025-10-23 03:22Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley believes that the stock price of China National Pharmaceutical Group (01099) will rise within the next 30 days, with a probability of 70% to 80%, and has given a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 22.5 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Two subsidiaries of China National Pharmaceutical Group have reported third-quarter results showing a positive trend, which is expected to have a beneficial effect on the group [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600511.SH), a major distributor in Beijing and a key supplier of anesthetic drugs, reported a year-on-year revenue and profit increase of 4% and 13% respectively in the third quarter, indicating a positive turnaround [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Group's southern distribution network and Guoda Pharmacy chain, represented by China National Pharmaceutical Holdings (000028.SZ), experienced a year-on-year revenue and net profit decline of 2% and 10% respectively in the third quarter, but the company noted that its distribution business has "stabilized and is recovering growth" [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The pharmaceutical distributor is expected to remain under market attention until 2025 due to weak domestic demand and the impact of technology licensing activities in China [1] - Based on a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 times for 2026, Morgan Stanley considers that China National Pharmaceutical Group currently presents a good entry opportunity [1]